Monday, August 15, 2011

Trade Balance Indonesia China

Kontan today Aug. 16, 2011: Pasar China Semakin jadi Andalan
Import from China USD 12 Billion (Jan.-Jun, 2011), growth 33%
Products: Textile, electronic, toys, etc (consumables, end products)
Export to China: USD 1 - 1.9 Billion per bulan
Products: Coals and Palm Oil (Batubara dan Minyak Kelapa Sawit) Raw Material
Strange government officer proud on above situation. Howcome?
Consider this:
- Can Indonesia make consumable products that imported from China?
- Will import of consumable treat Indonesia industry? Will this support Industry growth in Indonesia?
- Can human being manufacture Coal and Palm oil? Are these part of Natural resources advantages? Will this treathen industry in China?
- How much in Qty/tonage comparison of Import vs export (than USD value)? This will shown the value added.

Trade balance is only a number, we shall factor in others. In the past we have Repelita (5 years development plan), Perhaps Industry and manufacturing shall be our focus to utilized natural resources for our own consumption and some for export.
Nevertheless, Human Resources in Indonesia shall be productive and creative in this global situation (World is Flat, but there's always a swimming "Black Swan" and "Flying Butterflies" which caused a huricance somewhere)

Thursday, May 5, 2011

Logistic and traffic efficiency in Jakarta

Jakarta traffic jammed is getting serious. While some action might be taken, but let see some perspectives: Economic and theory of liquid flow.
Since started of Bus way lane, we identified some bottle neck already. Some of them:
3 bottle nect from Semanggi to Cawang, due to bus stop and/or pedestrian bridge.
What are the economic impact:
- If average delay due to this bottle neck is 20 minutes/vehicle/day
- If average vehicle cross this area 10000 units/day
- If fuel in efficiency due to the traffice is 0.2 liter
- If fuel cost is USD 1 per litter
- If working day per year is 250 days
So the economic per year = 10000 * 0.2 l * USD 1 * 250 = USD 500.000
This is more than enough to finance for the bottle necking of this section.... True?
I wonder if the authority responsible did not recognized this..
Even worst economic if we consider human brain potential that wasted in this traffic jam...
How can we (Indonesia) could compete with others?